Season Predictions and Reviews
Division 1 Season 14 Stats and facts
Chelsea top of the stats for season 14
For the new managers or those who have forgotten.
I take the average rating of the Gk, Def, Mid, Att , the lowest of the top 18 ( adjusted if needed ) and the overall average to produce the ETOT the effective total.
This then gives the predicted position.
Chelsea sit just above Barcelona, their side is better balanced and has more depth , although neither side really goes that deep. These 2 are well clear of Juventus and Arsenal . Juventus also lack depth but on any given day could challenge the top 2 as could Arsenal who are the first depth side. They need to look at the long game this season.
Bayern and Porto are the only other sides above 229, realistically the cut off for any title hopes. Bayern have the greatest depth of any team and like Arsenal may have to hope for injuries in the Barcelona or Chelsea squads.
Real Madrid and Dortmund also are well equipped for the long run and I would expect them to finish higher than their predicted position if managed well.
224 is the cut off for relegation so Tottenham , Man City and Ajax would need to do really well to even finish above the cut off. Roma may fair little better with a tragic lack of depth and an ancient keeper who is sure to drop, they may save one of their lower ranked rivals.
| GK | DEF | MID | ATT | Top18 | Ave | ETOT | Pre | |
| Chelsea | 95.0 | 93.5 | 94.5 | 96.0 | 85.0 | 92.8 | 234.40 | 1 |
| Barcelona | 92.0 | 93.8 | 93.8 | 97.0 | 85.0 | 92.3 | 234.29 | 2 |
| Juventus | 95.0 | 92.5 | 93.0 | 93.5 | 85.0 | 91.8 | 230.78 | 3 |
| Arsenal | 92.0 | 92.0 | 91.0 | 94.5 | 87.0 | 91.3 | 229.31 | 4 |
| Bayern München | 95.0 | 91.3 | 93.3 | 91.5 | 89.0 | 92.0 | 229.16 | 5 |
| FC Porto | 93.0 | 91.5 | 92.3 | 93.0 | 87.0 | 91.4 | 229.05 | 6 |
| Real Madrid | 91.0 | 91.5 | 92.5 | 91.5 | 88.0 | 90.9 | 228.16 | 7 |
| Genoa CFC | 91.0 | 91.8 | 90.0 | 94.0 | 87.0 | 90.8 | 227.86 | 8 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 90.0 | 90.8 | 90.8 | 93.0 | 88.0 | 90.5 | 227.01 | 9 |
| RCD Espanyol | 92.0 | 90.5 | 91.8 | 91.0 | 87.0 | 90.5 | 226.43 | 10 |
| Atlético Madrid | 91.0 | 91.0 | 91.5 | 90.5 | 86.0 | 90.0 | 226.07 | 11 |
| Hertha BSC | 88.0 | 90.0 | 91.0 | 91.5 | 87.0 | 89.5 | 225.28 | 12 |
| Hellas Verona | 89.0 | 90.0 | 91.3 | 91.0 | 86.0 | 89.5 | 225.15 | 13 |
| SL Benfica | 93.0 | 90.8 | 90.8 | 89.5 | 88.0 | 90.4 | 225.10 | 14 |
| SC Internacional | 89.0 | 89.8 | 91.3 | 91.0 | 86.0 | 89.4 | 224.95 | 15 |
| Valencia CF | 89.0 | 89.0 | 90.5 | 93.0 | 83.0 | 88.9 | 224.69 | 16 |
| AS Roma | 89.0 | 90.0 | 91.0 | 91.5 | 81.0 | 88.5 | 224.68 | 17 |
| Ajax | 89.0 | 89.5 | 90.8 | 90.0 | 87.0 | 89.3 | 223.82 | 18 |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 90.0 | 89.5 | 89.8 | 90.5 | 87.0 | 89.4 | 223.47 | 19 |
| Manchester City | 89.0 | 89.5 | 89.5 | 89.5 | 86.0 | 88.7 | 222.38 | 20 |
Season 13 D5 Stats and Fact review.
Zagreb dominant. Cruziero have highest VA.
Zagreb are a well deserved PVA winner with Cruziero in 2nd spot. Play off team Twente are in third with St Etienne and Stuttgart over performing.
Palace and Feyenord along with Bordeaux have the lowest PVA with perhaps Bordeaux having the lowest VA.
| GK | DEF | MID | ATT | Top18 | Ave | ETOT | Epr | Fin | VA | PVA | |
| Dinamo Zagreb | 89.0 | 87.8 | 89.0 | 89.5 | 86.0 | 88.3 | 220.58 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3.00 |
| Cruzeiro | 84.0 | 86.8 | 87.0 | 87.5 | 86.0 | 86.3 | 216.28 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 2.20 |
| FC Twente | 87.0 | 88.3 | 86.8 | 86.5 | 85.0 | 86.7 | 216.87 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 1.75 |
| AS Saint-Etienne | 87.0 | 86.5 | 86.5 | 86.5 | 85.0 | 86.3 | 215.27 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 1.11 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 87.0 | 85.5 | 87.5 | 84.0 | 82.0 | 85.2 | 213.28 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 0.91 |
| West Ham United | 87.0 | 86.5 | 87.0 | 87.5 | 85.0 | 86.6 | 216.32 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0.50 |
| FC AUGSBURG | 87.0 | 88.5 | 88.3 | 90.5 | 85.0 | 87.9 | 220.87 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.50 |
| Torino | 88.0 | 86.5 | 87.3 | 88.5 | 85.0 | 87.1 | 217.29 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0.25 |
| AZ Alkmaar | 87.0 | 86.8 | 87.0 | 87.0 | 85.0 | 86.6 | 216.19 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0.21 |
| Olympique Lyonnais | 87.0 | 87.3 | 86.5 | 86.5 | 86.0 | 86.7 | 215.99 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 0.20 |
| Olympiacos | 88.0 | 87.0 | 87.0 | 87.0 | 86.0 | 87.0 | 216.63 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0.08 |
| FK Partizan | 89.0 | 88.5 | 88.8 | 89.0 | 80.0 | 87.1 | 219.93 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 0.00 |
| Independiente | 86.0 | 86.8 | 86.5 | 86.0 | 85.0 | 86.1 | 215.02 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 0.00 |
| São Paulo FC | 87.0 | 87.0 | 87.5 | 87.0 | 85.0 | 86.7 | 216.79 | 11 | 13 | -2 | -0.08 |
| Sunderland | 88.0 | 87.0 | 86.3 | 88.0 | 83.0 | 86.5 | 216.32 | 13 | 18 | -5 | -0.22 |
| Beşiktaş JK | 88.0 | 88.3 | 89.0 | 88.0 | 87.0 | 88.1 | 220.00 | 4 | 7 | -3 | -0.29 |
| Flamengo | 89.0 | 89.3 | 88.8 | 90.0 | 86.0 | 88.6 | 221.90 | 1 | 3 | -2 | -0.33 |
| Girondins Bordeaux | 88.0 | 87.3 | 87.3 | 87.5 | 86.0 | 87.2 | 217.36 | 8 | 19 | -11 | -0.53 |
| Feyenoord | 87.0 | 87.0 | 88.3 | 87.0 | 85.0 | 86.9 | 217.39 | 7 | 17 | -10 | -0.53 |
| Crystal Palace | 89.0 | 87.5 | 88.0 | 87.5 | 86.0 | 87.6 | 218.28 | 6 | 16 | -10 | -0.56 |
D4 Season 13 Stats and Facts review
Secondplace Dnipro top PVA and VA.
From 14th predicted to 2nd actual, a great performance all round for the promoted side from the Ukraine. Werder did what they should but statistically a better performance from playoff team Fenerbache and also promoted Sporting.
Special mention to Leicester who moved from 20th to 8th.
Boca were a disappoitment as were playoff Dynamo and Santos. Athletic club have the 2nd lowest VA and they get relegated.
| GK | DEF | MID | ATT | Top18 | Ave | ETOT | Epr | Fin | VA | PVA | |
| Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk | 88.0 | 87.8 | 88.0 | 87.0 | 85.0 | 87.2 | 217.91 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 6.50 |
| Fenerbahçe SK | 87.0 | 87.0 | 87.5 | 88.5 | 85.0 | 87.0 | 217.77 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 3.25 |
| Sporting CP | 88.0 | 88.0 | 87.8 | 88.0 | 85.0 | 87.4 | 218.56 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 2.33 |
| Leicester City | 87.0 | 87.3 | 86.8 | 86.5 | 85.0 | 86.5 | 216.07 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 1.63 |
| Werder Bremen | 88.0 | 88.5 | 90.0 | 91.0 | 87.0 | 88.9 | 222.95 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.00 |
| Málaga CF | 87.0 | 87.3 | 87.0 | 88.0 | 86.0 | 87.1 | 217.36 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 0.54 |
| River Plate | 87.0 | 87.5 | 87.0 | 88.5 | 85.0 | 87.0 | 217.77 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0.45 |
| Atalanta BC | 88.0 | 87.8 | 88.0 | 87.5 | 87.0 | 87.7 | 218.48 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0.22 |
| Swansea City | 88.0 | 87.8 | 88.8 | 88.0 | 86.0 | 87.7 | 219.28 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0.17 |
| PSV | 87.0 | 87.8 | 87.8 | 87.0 | 85.0 | 86.9 | 217.59 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 0.13 |
| Spartak Moskva | 87.0 | 87.3 | 87.5 | 88.0 | 83.0 | 86.6 | 217.40 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0.12 |
| ACF Fiorentina | 88.0 | 87.5 | 87.8 | 88.0 | 86.0 | 87.5 | 218.28 | 11 | 15 | -4 | -0.20 |
| Sampdoria | 87.0 | 87.3 | 88.0 | 88.0 | 86.0 | 87.3 | 218.16 | 13 | 18 | -5 | -0.22 |
| Villarreal CF | 88.0 | 88.5 | 87.3 | 88.0 | 87.0 | 87.8 | 218.80 | 7 | 12 | -5 | -0.33 |
| Athletic Club | 87.0 | 87.5 | 88.3 | 87.5 | 86.0 | 87.3 | 218.24 | 12 | 20 | -8 | -0.35 |
| West Bromwich Albion | 91.0 | 88.5 | 87.8 | 87.5 | 83.0 | 87.6 | 218.76 | 8 | 14 | -6 | -0.36 |
| Santos FC | 88.0 | 88.3 | 89.3 | 89.5 | 87.0 | 88.4 | 221.18 | 2 | 5 | -3 | -0.40 |
| Rubin Kazan | 89.0 | 88.3 | 88.3 | 88.0 | 86.0 | 87.9 | 219.40 | 5 | 10 | -5 | -0.40 |
| Dynamo Moskva | 88.0 | 88.3 | 89.0 | 89.0 | 87.0 | 88.3 | 220.65 | 3 | 7 | -4 | -0.43 |
| Boca Juniors | 89.0 | 88.0 | 88.5 | 88.5 | 86.0 | 88.0 | 219.73 | 4 | 19 | -15 | -0.74 |
D3 Season 13 Stats and Facts review
3 way tie at the top.
Kiev just a little ahead of Villa and just above CSKA.
Kiev have the highest VA and get into the playoff +11 from 17th is a great performance.
Villa likewise in 5th and CSKA taking the title a great performance.
Notable plus to Celtic.
Lille have the lowest VA with Man Utd. Wolfsburg and Montpelier dissapointing.
| GK | DEF | MID | ATT | Top18 | Ave | ETOT | Epr | Fin | VA | PVA | |
| Dynamo Kyiv | 89.0 | 87.5 | 87.0 | 88.0 | 86.0 | 87.5 | 217.80 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 2.00 |
| Aston Villa | 89.0 | 87.5 | 88.0 | 88.0 | 83.0 | 87.1 | 218.24 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 2.00 |
| CSKA Moskva | 90.0 | 87.8 | 90.0 | 89.0 | 86.0 | 88.6 | 221.17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2.00 |
| Newcastle United | 88.0 | 88.5 | 87.8 | 90.0 | 87.0 | 88.3 | 220.50 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1.50 |
| Celtic | 87.0 | 86.3 | 87.8 | 88.5 | 85.0 | 86.9 | 217.37 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 0.90 |
| Udinese Calcio | 88.0 | 88.3 | 88.8 | 88.5 | 87.0 | 88.1 | 220.13 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0.75 |
| Celta Vigo | 87.0 | 87.0 | 89.3 | 87.0 | 83.0 | 86.7 | 217.95 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0.55 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 87.0 | 86.3 | 87.5 | 87.5 | 86.0 | 86.9 | 216.64 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 0.40 |
| SS Lazio | 88.0 | 87.3 | 89.3 | 88.5 | 86.0 | 87.8 | 219.61 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0.29 |
| 1. FC Köln | 88.0 | 88.0 | 89.0 | 87.5 | 87.0 | 87.9 | 219.48 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0.11 |
| Lokomotiv Moskva | 87.0 | 87.3 | 87.0 | 87.5 | 86.0 | 87.0 | 217.04 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 0.00 |
| Club Brugge KV | 87.0 | 87.3 | 88.8 | 88.5 | 86.0 | 87.5 | 219.09 | 11 | 13 | -2 | -0.08 |
| Olympique Marseille | 87.0 | 87.3 | 88.3 | 88.0 | 85.0 | 87.1 | 218.24 | 15 | 18 | -3 | -0.11 |
| Internazionale | 90.0 | 87.5 | 87.8 | 88.5 | 85.0 | 87.8 | 218.73 | 13 | 17 | -4 | -0.18 |
| Zenit Saint Petersburg | 89.0 | 87.5 | 88.0 | 88.5 | 85.0 | 87.6 | 218.81 | 12 | 16 | -4 | -0.19 |
| AS Monaco | 88.0 | 89.0 | 89.8 | 90.0 | 86.0 | 88.6 | 222.38 | 1 | 3 | -2 | -0.33 |
| Montpellier HSC | 88.0 | 87.5 | 88.5 | 88.5 | 86.0 | 87.7 | 219.21 | 10 | 19 | -9 | -0.42 |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 87.0 | 88.0 | 88.3 | 89.0 | 86.0 | 87.7 | 219.61 | 7 | 14 | -7 | -0.43 |
| Manchester United | 88.0 | 87.0 | 90.0 | 90.0 | 82.0 | 87.4 | 220.50 | 3 | 8 | -5 | -0.50 |
| Lille OSC | 88.0 | 87.8 | 89.0 | 89.5 | 86.0 | 88.1 | 220.46 | 5 | 12 | -7 | -0.50 |
D2 Season 13 Stats and facts review.
Dominant Arsenal are not top of the stats
Hamburg are statistically the most overachieving team. Joint best PVA and best VA pushes team top , just above Valencia. Arsenal should and did get predicted.
Also a noticeable plus to Schalke who pushed into the playoff spots.
Dissapointment for relegated Borussia who finish 20th in the league and the stats.
| Hamburger SV | 89.0 | 88.5 | 89.3 | 90.5 | 83.0 | 88.1 | 221.67 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 2.50 |
| Valencia CF | 87.0 | 88.8 | 89.0 | 92.0 | 86.0 | 88.6 | 222.76 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2.50 |
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 88.0 | 87.8 | 89.3 | 88.0 | 86.0 | 87.8 | 219.68 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1.43 |
| Arsenal | 92.0 | 92.3 | 91.3 | 94.5 | 89.0 | 91.8 | 229.95 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.00 |
| FC Schalke 04 | 90.0 | 89.0 | 91.0 | 87.5 | 87.0 | 88.9 | 222.12 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0.83 |
| Sevilla | 89.0 | 88.5 | 89.5 | 88.5 | 84.0 | 87.9 | 220.69 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 0.60 |
| Levante UD | 87.0 | 87.3 | 87.5 | 87.0 | 83.0 | 86.4 | 216.75 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 0.40 |
| Everton | 89.0 | 88.8 | 90.3 | 89.5 | 85.0 | 88.5 | 222.26 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0.25 |
| Galatasaray SK | 88.0 | 88.0 | 87.5 | 87.5 | 87.0 | 87.6 | 218.28 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 0.18 |
| FC Basel | 89.0 | 88.3 | 88.8 | 89.5 | 87.0 | 88.5 | 220.90 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0.15 |
| Southampton | 87.0 | 89.5 | 89.5 | 89.0 | 85.0 | 88.0 | 221.69 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0.08 |
| Chievo Verona | 87.0 | 87.3 | 87.8 | 88.5 | 86.0 | 87.3 | 218.29 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 0.06 |
| Manchester City | 88.0 | 89.8 | 89.5 | 90.0 | 87.0 | 88.9 | 222.90 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 0.00 |
| RCD Espanyol | 92.0 | 90.8 | 90.3 | 90.5 | 88.0 | 90.3 | 225.23 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0.00 |
| Stoke City | 88.0 | 87.8 | 88.5 | 88.5 | 86.0 | 87.8 | 219.41 | 17 | 19 | -2 | -0.05 |
| Sassuolo | 87.0 | 89.5 | 89.0 | 89.5 | 86.0 | 88.2 | 221.74 | 11 | 16 | -5 | -0.25 |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 91.0 | 89.0 | 90.0 | 89.5 | 85.0 | 88.9 | 222.50 | 8 | 14 | -6 | -0.36 |
| AC Milan | 92.0 | 89.8 | 89.8 | 89.0 | 86.0 | 89.3 | 222.81 | 5 | 11 | -6 | -0.45 |
| Standard Liège | 87.0 | 88.5 | 90.5 | 91.0 | 86.0 | 88.6 | 223.11 | 3 | 9 | -6 | -0.56 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 89.0 | 90.0 | 89.5 | 89.0 | 87.0 | 88.9 | 222.57 | 7 | 20 | -13 | -0.60 |
D1 Season 13 Stats and Fact review
This season has seen a chaning of the guard.
Chelsea get the highest PVA and VA well deserved.
Atletico come 2nd in PVA exceeding their projected finish by 6.
Highest VA goes to Hellas who finished a plucky 11th after being relegation candidates.
At the wrong end relegated Anderlecht and PSG fill the lowest 2 spots. With Benfica being the only other team having negative PVA, largely due to most of the other sides finishing where they should of.
| GK | DEF | MID | ATT | Top18 | Ave | ETOT | Epr | Fin | VA | PVA | |
| Chelsea | 95.0 | 93.5 | 93.5 | 96.5 | 85.0 | 92.7 | 233.93 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2.00 |
| Atlético Madrid | 91.0 | 90.8 | 90.8 | 91.0 | 87.0 | 90.1 | 225.71 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 0.88 |
| Hellas Verona | 88.0 | 89.3 | 89.5 | 93.0 | 86.0 | 89.2 | 224.33 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 0.73 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 90.0 | 90.8 | 90.8 | 92.0 | 88.0 | 90.3 | 226.36 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0.67 |
| Real Madrid | 91.0 | 91.8 | 92.8 | 91.5 | 88.0 | 91.0 | 228.56 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0.50 |
| Juventus | 95.0 | 92.5 | 93.0 | 93.5 | 86.0 | 92.0 | 230.90 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.33 |
| AS Roma | 89.0 | 90.5 | 90.5 | 90.5 | 86.0 | 89.3 | 224.63 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0.31 |
| Ajax | 89.0 | 89.5 | 91.0 | 90.0 | 87.0 | 89.3 | 224.02 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 0.25 |
| Genoa CFC | 91.0 | 91.0 | 90.3 | 93.5 | 86.0 | 90.4 | 227.02 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0.14 |
| Hertha BSC | 90.0 | 89.5 | 91.5 | 92.5 | 87.0 | 90.1 | 226.17 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0.10 |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 91.0 | 90.3 | 91.3 | 91.5 | 87.0 | 90.2 | 226.04 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0.08 |
| SC Internacional | 89.0 | 89.8 | 91.0 | 92.0 | 84.0 | 89.2 | 225.16 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 0.07 |
| Liverpool | 90.0 | 90.3 | 90.0 | 91.0 | 85.0 | 89.3 | 224.35 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0.06 |
| SSC Napoli | 90.0 | 88.5 | 88.3 | 89.5 | 83.0 | 87.9 | 220.34 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 0.05 |
| FC Porto | 93.0 | 91.5 | 90.5 | 91.5 | 87.0 | 90.7 | 226.68 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 0.00 |
| Bayern München | 95.0 | 91.5 | 93.8 | 92.5 | 89.0 | 92.4 | 230.41 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 0.00 |
| Barcelona | 93.0 | 93.5 | 94.0 | 97.5 | 82.0 | 92.0 | 234.38 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0.00 |
| SL Benfica | 93.0 | 90.5 | 89.8 | 92.5 | 88.0 | 90.8 | 226.05 | 11 | 14 | -3 | -0.14 |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 93.0 | 91.0 | 90.5 | 91.0 | 87.0 | 90.5 | 225.95 | 13 | 18 | -5 | -0.22 |
| RSC Anderlecht | 91.0 | 91.0 | 91.3 | 92.5 | 87.0 | 90.6 | 227.29 | 6 | 19 | -13 | -0.63 |