Chelsea the highest ranked team just above Porto, is balance the key to all things?

How it all work. I calculate the average rating in the four main positions, the top 18 and the average. A formula calculates the ETOT which is the ranking each team gets based on each position. If for any reason the lowest ranked top 18 player is much lower than anyone else I adjust that using common sense so as not to skew the results.

The only thing Chelsea lack is depth. It would be possible for 2 or 3 injuries to break them down sufficiently for others to challenge.  Porto, Barca and Hellas have a strong attacking line but too often the rip each other apart leaving Chelsea unscathed.  Hellas have great depth but an 89 keeper doesn’t cut it in D1.

Juventus have the top and tail approach of great keeper and attack, a few players of the highest quality in midfield and they could challenge once more.  Leicester joins them in the strongest lead pack again a well balanced

What about relegation prospects?  Last year under 224 meant a 75% chance of relegation. So there are 4 clear favourites. Espanyol not really built for D1 will struggle at all levels.  Internacional do have a strong keeper and more depth. CSKA did so well last season to stay up but this season it will be even tougher. Man City will be 100% reliant on their tough keeper. Hamburg are the only other team close to 224 but they are now much more balanced and have great depth, this could leave Cologne vulnerable with a few injuries.

The A.I. has also made its own ranking and it does closely agree with me. Berlin and Arsenal are predicted to swap places but all the others are + or – 1 at most.

 GKDEFMIDATTTop18AveETOTPreA.I.
Chelsea94.093.894.094.082.091.6232.4211
Dortmund93.092.593.495.087.092.2232.0722
FC Porto92.092.893.294.087.091.8231.3433
Barcelona92.092.392.296.085.091.5231.2045
Hellas Verona89.092.092.895.089.091.6230.9554
Juventus95.091.891.693.088.091.9229.0966
Leicester City91.091.093.293.086.090.8229.0578
Levante UD91.092.092.691.085.090.3227.9587
Bayern92.090.891.293.088.091.0227.61910
Sporting CP90.090.592.892.086.090.3227.56109
H. Berlin92.089.890.894.087.090.7227.021113
São Paulo FC91.090.091.492.087.090.3226.281212
Arsenal91.090.891.691.085.089.9226.151311
Aston Villa89.090.390.293.087.089.9225.931414
Cologne92.089.091.492.083.089.5225.121516
Hamburg90.089.591.091.087.089.7224.791615
Manchester City93.088.589.890.085.089.3222.501717
CSKA Moskva90.089.089.089.085.088.4221.251819
SC Internacional91.089.389.288.086.088.7221.201918
RCD Espanyol88.088.089.688.085.087.7220.042020
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One response to “Season 28 Division 1 Stats and Facts”

  1. David Marsden Avatar
    David Marsden

    Tough division!

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