Season 27 Division 1 Stats and Facts

I say Dortmund should win the league the A.I. says Chelsea (with a big caveat) who is correct.

Usual preamble. I work out the average rating in each of the 4 key positions, the lowest player in the top 18 and the average. This calculates a rating the ETOT, This is used to predicted the final position.

Last year I practiced with some A.I. data which only did marginally worse than I did. During the preseason I trained it with 5 more divisions of data. It came up with the A.I. formula and also was able to spot possible outliers.

It is closer at the top of D1 than ever. Any one of 6 teams have a good chance. Dortmund is just the top team with a great attack, midfield and some depth.  Chelsea who the A.I. predict to win are my 2^nd team, only a lack of depth hampers them. Hellas have greater depth than the Atlantic Ocean but you can’t play all those superstars, they are ranked 3^rd.  Barcelona 4^th ranked form me with that potent attacking threat, Porto a well-balanced team have good depth and a good attack.  They sit above Leicester who have a new gaffer who would be looking to push them to the top of the table.

There is then a sizeable gap to Juventus and the chasing pack.  At the lower end of the table if we say 224 is the cut off for survival, CSKA look doomed to me unless their keeper can save them, Cruzeiro have a good attack but an 88 keeper in D1 will struggle.  Milan and Leverkusen are close to the cut off and maybe their depth will save them.

The A.I. also looked at possible outliers and believes that Chelsea and Barcelona have the biggest potential to underperform placing Chelsea as low as 4-6^th place and Barcelona 9^th – 11^th as outliers. 

It also sees Levante as maybe pushing up to 4- 6^th spot and CSKA maybe 15^th – 17^th due to solid depth and keeper strength.

	GK	DEF	MID	ATT	Top18	Ave	ETOT	Pre	A.I
Dortmund	93.0	92.5	93.0	95.0	87.0	92.1	231.75	1	4
Chelsea (-)	94.0	93.5	93.4	94.0	82.0	91.4	231.74	2	1
Hellas Verona	91.0	92.5	92.8	95.0	90.0	92.3	231.71	3	3
Barcelona (-)	92.0	91.8	93.2	96.0	85.0	91.6	231.60	4	6
FC Porto	92.0	92.8	93.4	94.0	87.0	91.8	231.50	5	2
Leicester City	91.0	92.5	93.4	94.0	87.0	91.6	231.18	6	5
Juventus	95.0	91.8	91.8	93.0	89.0	92.1	229.37	7	7
Levante UD +	91.0	92.0	93.4	91.0	85.0	90.5	228.59	8	8
Sporting CP	90.0	91.8	92.2	92.0	87.0	90.6	228.20	9	9
Bayern	93.0	90.0	91.2	94.0	87.0	91.0	227.66	10	10
H. Berlin	92.0	89.5	90.8	94.0	88.0	90.9	226.94	11	13
Internazionale	92.0	90.0	90.8	93.0	87.0	90.6	226.57	12	12
São Paulo FC	91.0	90.3	91.6	91.0	86.0	90.0	225.87	13	11
Aston Villa	89.0	90.0	90.2	93.0	87.0	89.8	225.73	14	16
Hamburg	90.0	89.8	90.8	91.0	87.0	89.7	224.83	15	14
Manchester City	93.0	89.5	89.8	92.0	86.0	90.1	224.72	16	17
Leverkusen	89.0	91.0	89.4	90.0	87.0	89.3	223.94	17	15
AC Milan	89.0	89.8	89.8	91.0	87.0	89.3	223.91	18	18
Cruzeiro EC	88.0	89.8	90.0	91.0	86.0	89.0	223.83	19	19
CSKA Moskva +	90.0	89.0	88.8	89.0	87.0	88.8	221.33	20	20