2 Italian teams lead the pack and 2 more are set to be relegated.
Official health warning.
This is a purely statistical analysis of the teams in division 2. While I may add a comment or two to make a good read, this in no way reflects on the managerial or squad building ability of any manager.
AC Milan are a point and a half above any other team, they could easily finish mid table in division 1. They have a higher rating than any promoted D2 or relegated D1 team last season. Should be a walk in the park or would be if it were not for Genoa.
Genoa with Salah and Firmino a little weaker at the back than AC but much stronger up top. These must be the top 2 .
A rating of around 223 will be needed to survive D1 so any team from Valencia up could challenge for promotion , Ajax with their strong keeper could be favourites , while Moenchengladbach who lack depth could disappoint, with Benfica also needing to reinforce between the sticks.
Zenit could be a great cup side , with their keeper backing up the capable reserve team.
With the exception of Southampton the relegated teams had a rating of 220 or less. The relegation scrap this year should be more intense with 6 or more teams at real risk of the drop.
Celtic currently well over performing must be the favourites. Little back up , weak keeper at the moment, most teams will fancy their chances, although some could risk a weakened side which would be a mistake.
Two of my old sides sit statistically in the lower 4 , both managers have a big job to do with Sporting looking especially vunerable, although they have got off to fair starts.