Some all season stats on how many points you will likely need to guarantee winning your division…
Also perhaps worthy of note, is that D1 aside, no team has won the same division title more than once. Obviously that will change as the seasons go on, but gives hope to all those trophyless teams that maybe, just maybe, THIS is the one.
Division One – 91 points
In a division utterly dominated by Barcelona and Bayern, a haul of 95 points would seem to be enough to ‘guarantee’ the title, while most seasons 91 would be enough.
It has been won with less, of course. In Season 1, Manchester United won with just 73 points, although that seems like an anomaly now.
The next lowest is Bayern’s Season 5 tally of 88, which I think is a more realistic ‘minimum’.
Season |
Div |
Pos |
|
Team |
P |
W |
D |
L |
GF |
GA |
GD |
Pts |
3 |
1 |
1 |
|
Barcelona |
38 |
34 |
3 |
1 |
86 |
22 |
64 |
105 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|
Barcelona |
38 |
29 |
8 |
1 |
94 |
22 |
72 |
95 |
6 |
1 |
1 |
|
Barcelona |
38 |
30 |
5 |
3 |
92 |
32 |
60 |
95 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
|
Bayern München |
38 |
30 |
4 |
4 |
103 |
29 |
74 |
94 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
|
Bayern München |
38 |
30 |
4 |
4 |
102 |
38 |
64 |
94 |
4 |
1 |
2 |
|
Barcelona |
38 |
28 |
8 |
2 |
94 |
33 |
61 |
92 |
7 |
1 |
1 |
|
Barcelona |
38 |
28 |
6 |
4 |
81 |
35 |
46 |
90 |
7 |
1 |
2 |
|
Bayern München |
38 |
27 |
7 |
4 |
79 |
29 |
50 |
88 |
5 |
1 |
1 |
|
Bayern München |
38 |
28 |
4 |
6 |
78 |
33 |
45 |
88 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
|
Bayern München |
38 |
27 |
4 |
7 |
90 |
41 |
49 |
85 |
6 |
1 |
2 |
|
Bayern München |
38 |
25 |
10 |
3 |
84 |
37 |
47 |
85 |
Division Two – 72 points
A notoriously tight and highly competitive division. 79 points would guarantee the title, while 72 points would be enough in most seasons.
Last season, though, Internacional won the title with the lowest ever points tally – 68.
Season |
Div |
Pos |
|
Team |
P |
W |
D |
L |
GF |
GA |
GD |
Pts |
<!–br {mso-data-placement:same-cell;}
5 |
2 |
1 |
|
Villarreal CF |
38 |
24 |
8 |
6 |
62 |
32 |
30 |
80 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
|
Borussia Dortmund |
38 |
23 |
10 |
5 |
70 |
35 |
35 |
79 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
SSC Napoli |
38 |
23 |
9 |
6 |
87 |
41 |
46 |
78 |
5 |
2 |
2 |
|
Atlético Madrid |
38 |
23 |
8 |
7 |
60 |
35 |
25 |
77 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
|
Tottenham Hotspur |
38 |
23 |
7 |
8 |
67 |
36 |
31 |
76 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
|
AC Milan |
38 |
21 |
10 |
7 |
60 |
33 |
27 |
73 |
6 |
2 |
1 |
|
Borussia Mönchengladbach |
38 |
19 |
15 |
4 |
55 |
31 |
24 |
72 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
|
Everton |
38 |
22 |
6 |
10 |
49 |
34 |
15 |
72 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
|
Borussia Mönchengladbach |
38 |
21 |
8 |
9 |
63 |
34 |
29 |
71 |
Division Three – 70 points
Another famously tight division, last season was something of an exception, with record points hauls for the top three Hertha, Lazio and Newcastle.
Prior to that, 70 points would have been enough to secure the D3 title.
The lowest points tally ever to be enough to win D3 was 63, when CSKA won it in Season 5.
<!–br {mso-data-placement:same-cell;}
Season |
Div |
Pos |
|
Team |
P |
W |
D |
L |
GF |
GA |
GD |
Pts |
<!–br {mso-data-placement:same-cell;}
7 |
3 |
1 |
|
Hertha BSC |
38 |
23 |
7 |
8 |
71 |
36 |
35 |
76 |
7 |
3 |
2 |
|
SS Lazio |
38 |
22 |
9 |
7 |
54 |
30 |
24 |
75 |
4 |
3 |
1 |
|
Sporting CP |
38 |
21 |
9 |
8 |
62 |
40 |
22 |
72 |
6 |
3 |
1 |
|
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
38 |
19 |
14 |
5 |
53 |
29 |
24 |
71 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
|
Aston Villa |
38 |
20 |
10 |
8 |
57 |
36 |
21 |
70 |
7 |
3 |
3 |
|
Newcastle United |
38 |
19 |
12 |
7 |
65 |
44 |
21 |
69 |
Division Four – 69 points
In an average season, 69 points should be enough to be crowned D4 champions.
Last Season’s incredible ‘Division of Death’ produced one of the lowest points hauls for a title winner – just 65 for Standard Liege.
Villarreal won it with even fewer – 61 – in Season 3.
Season |
Div |
Pos |
|
Team |
P |
W |
D |
L |
GF |
GA |
GD |
Pts |
<!–br {mso-data-placement:same-cell;}
4 |
4 |
1 |
|
Hellas Verona |
38 |
24 |
7 |
7 |
66 |
30 |
36 |
79 |
6 |
4 |
1 |
|
Hertha BSC |
38 |
24 |
7 |
7 |
66 |
36 |
30 |
79 |
5 |
4 |
1 |
|
Celtic |
38 |
23 |
8 |
7 |
64 |
28 |
36 |
77 |
5 |
4 |
2 |
|
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
38 |
22 |
9 |
7 |
57 |
34 |
23 |
75 |
6 |
4 |
2 |
|
Leicester City |
38 |
22 |
6 |
10 |
66 |
34 |
32 |
72 |
1 |
4 |
1 |
|
Beşiktaş JK |
38 |
21 |
6 |
11 |
71 |
55 |
16 |
69 |
1 |
4 |
2 |
|
Sassuolo |
38 |
20 |
8 |
10 |
76 |
51 |
25 |
68 |
6 |
4 |
3 |
|
Dynamo Kyiv |
38 |
19 |
10 |
9 |
61 |
41 |
20 |
67 |
1 |
4 |
3 |
|
HAMBURGER SV |
38 |
21 |
4 |
13 |
75 |
65 |
10 |
67 |
2 |
4 |
1 |
|
Southampton |
38 |
19 |
9 |
10 |
62 |
40 |
22 |
66 |
7 |
4 |
1 |
|
Standard Liège |
38 |
17 |
14 |
7 |
50 |
33 |
17 |
65 |
Division Five – 75 points
Villarreal smashed it in Season 2 with 85 points, but a much more achievable 76 points will almost ‘guarantee’ the D5 title, if history is anything to go by. In fact, 75 points should win the title most times.
Dnipro, who finished second last season with 75 points, actually won D5 in Season 1 with just 66 points, the lowest recorded.
Season |
Div |
Pos |
|
Team |
P |
W |
D |
L |
GF |
GA |
GD |
Pts |
<!–br {mso-data-placement:same-cell;}
2 |
5 |
1 |
|
Villarreal CF |
38 |
26 |
7 |
5 |
67 |
25 |
42 |
85 |
5 |
5 |
1 |
|
Hertha BSC |
38 |
22 |
12 |
4 |
66 |
30 |
36 |
78 |
7 |
5 |
1 |
|
Celta Vigo |
38 |
24 |
6 |
8 |
67 |
35 |
32 |
78 |
6 |
5 |
1 |
|
AS Monaco |
38 |
23 |
9 |
6 |
69 |
38 |
31 |
78 |
7 |
5 |
2 |
|
Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk |
38 |
22 |
9 |
7 |
54 |
25 |
29 |
75 |
3 |
5 |
1 |
|
Olympiacos |
38 |
21 |
12 |
5 |
51 |
27 |
24 |
75 |
2 |
5 |
2 |
|
Feyenoord |
38 |
22 |
8 |
8 |
62 |
26 |
36 |
74 |
2 |
5 |
3 |
|
VfB Stuttgart |
38 |
20 |
14 |
4 |
62 |
38 |
24 |
74 |
6 |
5 |
2 |
|
Torino |
38 |
22 |
8 |
8 |
63 |
41 |
22 |
74 |
3 |
5 |
2 |
|
Dynamo Kyiv |
38 |
21 |
10 |
7 |
66 |
38 |
28 |
73 |
4 |
5 |
1 |
|
Dynamo Moskva |
38 |
20 |
11 |
7 |
54 |
31 |
23 |
71 |
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Great analysis David … pretty close to what I came up with when I was leading Wolfsburg in Division 2. I had figured I needed 70 points for automatic promotion and looked at the schedule to see where I needed to get those points – then kept a tally of how I was going game by game! Geeky, but it worked 🙂
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