Inter Milan should dominate their Italian rivals in this division, with the strong German duo close behind.
Again , a quick note, none of this is my opinion or a reflection on any manager and their skill in making a team or running a team, just raw data crunched and spat out by excel.
It is always worth looking at the division above when considering , who could and who should be promoted.
You will need around 89.4 to survive in D1. So realistically only the top 5 have what it takes, the rest if they get promoted , will in all probability get relegated again.
That being said D2 is a slightly wilder place than D1 and there is always a bigger variation in results.
Inter are solid 90 throughout, only Southampton can match that, but they have much less strength in depth. Dortmund and Leverkeusen lay either side of their Portuguese rivals in Benfica, who can put out a stronger starting 11 if needed but lack in depth also.
Genoa have a potent attack and the alternative rating system shows them pushing for the playoff spot.
Recall that with a SD of around 6 any team down to Lazio could push for a playoff spot and any team up to Schalke are at risk of relegation.
The stats show that CSKA, Sassuolo and Athletic club making the return journey to D3 quicker than they would have liked. Only Sampdoria from the promoted quartet seem to have a good enough squad to survive. Fenerbache who survived on goal difference last season may not be so lucky this year.
It seems to be getting harder and harder each year to survive in D2 with 46 points needed last season.