Division 1 Stats and facts.
Barcelona should top the table, Juve to grab 2nd. Plus new experimental prediction.
Barcelona have the stongest starting selection but as last season lack depth which ultimately cost them the title. Juve and Bayern are closely matched. Chelsea also adopt the Barca approach of strength but less depth.
Ultimately the standard deviation approach suggests that no team lower than PSG have any realistic hope for the title.
PSG and Real Madrid will be looking for a rapid increase in keeper rating and thus may finish much higher than suggested.
At the other end , it could be a season of suffering for the promoted Villareal , Sunderland and Wolfsburg. Ajax who narrowly avoided relegation are once again in the lowest 4 at the moment.
Any team up to Napoli must consider themselves relegation possibles , teams above Man City should be safe.
The last 2 columns on the table are a rating system based on the relative effect of GK, Def, Mid, ATT , Top18 . This was calculated looking at the difference between predicted and real positions last year.
There isn’t that much difference. It does suggest Bayern are much closer to Barca than otherwise predicted ETOt is the rating calculation, which I’m not going to explain yet , as it needs tweeking and may have to be done division by division. EPr is the experimental prediction.