Season 6 Division 1 stats and facts


Division 1 Stats and facts.

Barcelona should top the table,  Juve to grab 2nd. Plus new experimental prediction.

Barcelona have the stongest starting selection but as last season lack depth which ultimately cost them the title.  Juve and Bayern are closely matched. Chelsea also adopt the Barca approach of strength but less depth.

Ultimately the standard deviation approach suggests that no team lower than PSG have any realistic hope for the title.

PSG and Real Madrid will be looking for a rapid increase in keeper rating and thus may finish much higher than suggested.

At the other end , it could be a season of suffering for the promoted Villareal , Sunderland and Wolfsburg. Ajax who narrowly avoided relegation are once again in the lowest 4 at the moment.

Any team up to Napoli must consider themselves relegation possibles , teams above Man City should be safe.

The last 2 columns on the table are a rating system based on the relative effect of GK, Def, Mid, ATT , Top18 .  This was calculated looking at the difference between predicted and real positions last year.

There isn’t that much difference.  It does suggest Bayern are much closer to Barca than otherwise predicted  ETOt is the rating calculation, which I’m not going to explain yet , as it needs tweeking and may have to be done division by division. EPr is the experimental prediction.

GK DEF MID ATT Top18 Ave Pr ETOT Epr
Barcelona 96.0 93.3 93.5 97.5 85.0 93.1 1.0 240.06 1.00
Juventus 95.0 91.5 93.8 95.0 88.0 92.7 2.0 237.09 4.00
Bayern 91.0 93.3 93.5 96.5 87.0 92.3 3.0 239.05 2.00
Chelsea 93.0 92.8 92.5 97.5 85.0 92.2 4.0 238.54 3.00
Arsenal 91.0 91.5 92.8 93.5 88.0 91.4 5.0 234.97 5.00
Manchester United 94.0 91.3 93.3 92.0 86.0 91.3 6.0 234.20 7.00
Real Madrid 89.0 92.3 92.3 92.8 88.0 90.9 7.0 234.66 6.00
Paris Saint-Germain 89.0 91.3 92.8 93.0 87.0 90.6 8.0 234.04 8.00
Manchester City 90.0 90.8 92.5 93.5 86.0 90.6 9.0 233.70 9.00
Tottenham Hotspur 91.0 91.3 91.5 91.5 87.0 90.5 10.0 232.48 10.00
Atlético Madrid 93.0 90.5 91.0 91.0 85.0 90.1 11.0 231.07 13.00
AS Roma 92.0 89.5 91.0 92.0 85.0 89.9 12.0 230.60 14.00
SSC Napoli 90.0 90.5 92.0 91.0 86.0 89.9 13.0 231.49 11.00
Liverpool 90.0 91.3 91.8 90.0 86.0 89.8 14.0 231.43 12.00
VALENCIA CF 90.0 90.0 90.8 90.0 86.0 89.4 15.0 229.52 17.00
FC Porto 88.0 90.5 89.5 91.0 87.0 89.2 16.0 229.72 16.00
Wolfsburg 88.0 90.0 90.5 91.5 86.0 89.2 17.0 230.09 15.00
Ajax 90.0 89.5 90.0 89.0 87.0 89.1 18.0 227.99 18.00
Villarreal CF 88.0 89.8 90.0 89.0 86.0 88.6 19.0 227.88 19.00
Sunderland 88.0 88.0 88.5 89.0 87.0 88.1 20.0 225.26 20.00

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