There should be two teams already dominating this division. Monaco and Olympiacos.  While not doing badly, they are 5 points away from where they should be.

Division 4 too a certain extent follows the pattern in divisions 1 and 2 . Two teams much better than the rest with a pack of decent teams following on.

It isn’t hard to see Monaco as out and out favourites for this division  but a weak keeper lets them down and leaves them vunerable. Sure they have a 90 rated front line but if you have an 89 rated front line and an 89 rated keeper you can give as good as you get. Olympiacos have exactly that but have a slight weakness in the back line.

Then a whole pack of team will be looking at the final promotion and play off spot.  West Ham look favoured but AZ and St Etienne have stronger keepers even if they have a weaker defence. 

In fact statistically you would need around an average of 87.2 to survive in D3 so we could go down as far as Hoffenheim to look for a possible play off team. The big shock could be Dinamo Zagreb who have gone for strength over depth. A risky tactic but it could pay off in an otherwise weaker division. 

Chievo on the other hand could struggle to get any where near their 5th spot with the joint worse keeper in the league. 

At the wrong end it really is tight. Any team from Sassuolo down are possible relegation candidates. All four relegation spots are filled by teams in the lowest 8 statistically. 

River Plate also try strength over depth but so far it isn’t paying off, as one key injury leaves them vunerable . Dnipro are going great guns at the moment, especially since they have had no easy fixtures.  I can’t see Montpellier staying up as they have much the weakest starting team and their compatriots Bordeaux aren’t far behind.