Division 4 first amongst equals


Division 4 the key stats.

 

When we look at this division we can see immediately that there is much less difference from the division above. The average rating is 86.4 compared to 86.7 in D3.   If we use a rule of thumb that you would need a rating of just above 86 to survive in D3 you can see that the vast majority of clubs down to SC Internacional have the potential to gain promotion.
This makes this the most open division so far.
GK Def Mid Att Top15 Top21 Average
Southamoton 89 87 89 89 87 83 88.2 2
West Ham 87 88 88 88 87 86 87.333 12
Dynamo Moscow 88 87 89 87 86 85 87 3
Genoa 89 88 88 89 86 82 87 7
Malaga 87 87 89 88 87 83 86.833 4
Torino 89 87 88 89 86 82 86.833 5
Udinese 87 87 87 88 87 85 86.833 11
Montpellier 88 87 87 88 86 85 86.833 14
Celta Vigo 87 87 88 86 85 82 86.6 1
West Brom 87 86 87 88 86 85 86.5 8
AZ 88 87 87 88 85 84 86.5 17
Dnipro 88 87 87 87 86 83 86.333 13
Atalanta 87 87 87 88 85 83 86.167 10
River Plate 87 87 87 87 86 83 86.167 15
Sc Internacional 87 87 87 87 86 82 86 6
Cologne 88 87 87 89 85 80 86 9
Espanyol 87 87 87 88 86 78 85.5 18
Chievo 85 87 87 87 84 82 85.333 19
Levante 87 86 88 87 84 80 85.333 20
Hellas Verona 85 85 87 86 83 82 84.667 16

The current position is shown to the right of the table. It is probably no surprise that 6/7 of the highest rated teams  occupy the automatic promotion and play off spots , even early doors.
They have to a large extent chosen to sacrifice quantity for quality, probably a good idea in this division.  West Ham and Dynamo Moscow are an exception to that and if they can keep up early in the season they will be in a position to challenge the out and out favourites Southamton.
It is no surprise to find teams of a similar build Udinese and Montpellier also begining the season well .  There is such a similarity from then on down to even Levante that it is hard to say how a particular team will do statistically , which means that manager skill and the vagueness of injuries will have more effect.
It has to be a concern for Espanyol,  Chievo , Levante that they are already struggling and have little in the wasy of back up to push into the front line.
Hellas Verona though are rather a sad sight and I can’t see them surviving ,  

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