Division 1 Stats and facts. Barcelona should top the table,  Juve to grab 2nd. Plus new experimental prediction. Barcelona have the stongest starting selection but as last season lack depth which ultimately cost them the title.  Juve and Bayern are closely matched. Chelsea also adopt the Barca approach of strength but less depth. Ultimately the…

Value added, how varied are the 5 divisions. What does standard deviation show. For the less mathematically incline the standard deviation is a way of measuring the average difference from the mean, with big differences counting slightly more.  Around 70% of teams will finish within 1SD of their finishing position , 95% of teams should…

Division 5 season 5 value added. The curse of the VA strikes again as the best VA team Flamengo fail in the playoffs. Great performance by Hertha Berlin and Malaga. Moving from play off contenders to league winners bodes well for Hertha Berlin next season,  Malaga pulled off a similar trick to finish second and…

Division 4 season 5 value added Perhaps some controversial positions here. Hoffenheim top the table , ahead of run away winners Celtic. There are definite similarities with D3 here, with the exeception of Celtic who ran away with the league in most respects. However Hoffenheim over came 5 potentially better sides to come 2nd and…

Division 4 Season 5 value added. The two Moscow clubs top the charts, predicted 3rd place team Leicester -16VA A don’t think it is a shock to see CSKA top for PVA , narrowly ahead of Athletic club and Sampdoria who were also promoted.  Top raw VA went to Lokomotive ,who fell at the last…

Division 2 Season 5 Value added , Villareal storm the barricades. Southampton sink into the solent. +15 PVA and +14 VA, a fantastic performance by Villareal. This somewhat eclipses the +10 VA of Sunderland ,  +9 VA of Internacional and + 7 of Genoa. Just goes to show the manager makes the differences, at least…

Bayern top the PVA table with Napoli having the best raw score. O.K. so this year I have sorted according to positional value added. This is the value added +1 / finishing position.  The idea is that finishing higher up gets you more positive points. So Bayern who finished top , with a raw VA…

50% of D5 sides are still in or have landed back in D5 after 5 seasons.  Who will do better than the 50% who remain this season. The current standings are a tale of 4 teams. West Ham and Espanyol who are living up to expectations at the top of the league , and Levant…

The Dynamo of the league or a flat battery waiting to be charged.    Monaco are statistically the best team in the league by some way, but they are plagued by constant underperformance.  A somewhat better start this year could see them in more lofty climbs.  Olympiacos with their excellent keeper should finish 2nd but…

A couple of mighty team languish in the depths of division 3, will they emerge to haunt of of the top 100 or vanish without a trace. Why are PSV not top of the league, well regular underperformance is the answer. A team with a 91 keeper and above 89 should easily finish in the…